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Where the river branched

The field's papers, abstracted one level up: which lines of inquiry opened, what each has actually tested, what it never tested — and which lines went quiet, died, or came back. Momentum = where a branch's activity sits in the field's timeline. Volatility = how contested its citation edges are. Click a lane.

19502014
Electronic Computation in Education
died out 1957–1957 momentum -73 volatility 0 1 paper

“Electronic computers will replace punched-card systems in education within 10 years.”

Explored — what this line has tested

The potential of electronic computation to replace punched-card systems in education, including the development of electronic computers and the analysis of educational data.

Unexplored — what it never tested

The specific mechanisms by which electronic computers replace punched-card systems, the potential for electronic computers to be used in other areas of education, and the potential for machines to surpass human intelligence in educational settings.

DIED OUT — no activity in the field's recent era. The unexplored column above is open territory.

Turing's Unfinished Work
died out 1955–1955 momentum -80 volatility 0 1 paper

“Turing's unfinished theory would predict novel reaction-diffusion mechanisms in embryonic development.”

Explored — what this line has tested

The potential of Turing's unfinished theory to predict novel reaction-diffusion mechanisms in embryonic development, including the study of reaction-diffusion systems and the analysis of embryonic development data.

Unexplored — what it never tested

The specific mechanisms by which Turing's unfinished theory predicts novel reaction-diffusion mechanisms, the potential for Turing's unfinished theory to be applied to other areas of study, and the potential for machines to surpass human intelligence in predicting reaction-diffusion mechanisms.

DIED OUT — no activity in the field's recent era. The unexplored column above is open territory.

Automata and Nonnumerical Computation
died out 1953–1955 momentum -84 volatility 0 2 papers

“Machines will achieve self-reproduction and brain-like computation within 50 years.”

Explored — what this line has tested

The potential of automata and nonnumerical computation to achieve self-reproduction and brain-like computation, including the development of stochastic automata and the study of emergent learning patterns.

Unexplored — what it never tested

The specific mechanisms by which machines will achieve self-reproduction and brain-like computation, the potential for machines to surpass human intelligence, and the ethics of creating machines that can make decisions independently.

DIED OUT — no activity in the field's recent era. The unexplored column above is open territory.

Community Studies and Prediction
died out 1953–1953 momentum -88 volatility 0 1 paper

“Standardized community surveys will predict social unrest with >70% accuracy in 10 years.”

Explored — what this line has tested

The potential of survey-research methods to study communities and predict social unrest, including the development of standardized community surveys and the analysis of community data.

Unexplored — what it never tested

The specific mechanisms by which survey-research methods predict social unrest, the potential for survey-research methods to be used in other areas of study, and the potential for machines to surpass human intelligence in predicting social unrest.

DIED OUT — no activity in the field's recent era. The unexplored column above is open territory.

Philosophy in Medical Education
died out 1952–1952 momentum -92 volatility 0 1 paper

“Medical curricula incorporating philosophy will improve holistic patient outcomes.”

Explored — what this line has tested

The potential benefits of incorporating philosophy into medical education, including improved patient outcomes and a more holistic approach to healthcare.

Unexplored — what it never tested

The specific mechanisms by which philosophy improves patient outcomes, the optimal level of philosophical education for medical professionals, and the potential for philosophy to be integrated into other areas of education.

DIED OUT — no activity in the field's recent era. The unexplored column above is open territory.

Intelligent Machines
died out 1950–1950 momentum -100 volatility 0 1 paper

“Intelligent machines can produce outputs with significant societal and organizational impacts.”

Explored — what this line has tested

The potential of intelligent machines to produce outputs with significant societal and organizational impacts, including both positive and negative effects.

Unexplored — what it never tested

The long-term consequences of widespread adoption of intelligent machines, the potential for machines to surpass human intelligence, and the ethics of creating machines that can make decisions independently.

DIED OUT — no activity in the field's recent era. The unexplored column above is open territory.